Demand & outages
Live emissions vs verified EU ETS data
Live is for the trade. Verified is for the surrender. Do not confuse the two clocks.
Updated 2026-08-05 · Model output for professionals · Not investment advice
Two clocks
Live / Day+1 estimates update on a trading-relevant lag. Verified emissions lock the compliance obligation on the regulatory calendar.
When each wins
Use live demand to anticipate near-term EUA pressure from power and industry. Use verified data to reconcile positions, compliance, and TNAC inputs. Both belong on a serious desk; they answer different questions.
FAQ
- Can I surrender based on Day+1?
- No. Compliance uses verified emissions under EU ETS rules. Day+1 is trading context, not a compliance filing.