OverviewIntroduction to Market Signals
IndicatorsLive indicators
Related ProductsProducts using these signals
PrinciplesDesign principles
Use CasesHow clients use it
Access & OverviewDesign principles and key details
Market Signals

Market Signals

Our market signals are designed to highlight when market conditions materially change and when they do not. They are built on Carbon Live fundamentals, market data, and regime logic, and are explicitly designed for short-term decision support. Signals are interpretable by design, not black-box outputs. Signals identify when conditions change, not what action must be taken, a deliberate design choice.

Live Indicators

COT Positioning Indicator
Tracks commercial and financial trader positioning in EUA futures. Identifies positioning extremes and regime-driven shifts in trader behavior.
Regime-Based Price Indicator
Frames price action within broader market regimes. Helps distinguish trend, range, and stress environments. Reduces false signals during noisy periods.
EUA Auction Price Indicator
Provides auction price forecasts and trading signals for EUA auctions. Delivers directional predictions with confidence metrics. Optimizes auction timing and participation strategies.

Related Products

Products that leverage Market Signals and market indicators

Regime Indicator
Comprehensive market analysis with regime indicators, price movements, and structured market intelligence for informed trading decisions. Frames price action within broader market regimes to help distinguish trend, range, and stress environments.
Market regime classification (trend, range, stress)
Price movement analysis and interpretation
Structured market intelligence and context
Trading decision support tools
Regime-aware indicators and signals
+3 more features
COT Analysis
Commitments of Traders (COT) positioning analysis for EUA carbon markets. Track commercial and financial trader positions, identify positioning extremes, and understand how trader categories position themselves across different market regimes.
Commercial trader positioning analysis and hedging patterns
Financial trader (fund/asset manager) net position tracking
Positioning extreme detection with regime context
COT report data visualization and trend analysis
Trader category comparison and divergence identification
+3 more features
EUA Auctions
Advanced auction price forecasts, trading activity analysis, and comprehensive market data analytics for EUA auctions. Monitor auction dynamics, analyze trading patterns, and optimize auction participation strategies.
Auction price forecasts with accuracy metrics
Trading activity insights and volume analysis
Market data analytics and trend identification
Historical auction trends and pattern recognition
Real-time auction monitoring and updates
+3 more features

ETS Scenario Desk

Multi-scenario EU ETS modeling with price signal analysis and reform tracking

Price Signal
Model-driven EUA price signal and fair value analysis for the EU ETS, with gap-to-fair-value context, signal lifecycle tracking, and model performance metrics.
Model-driven price signal and fair value analysis
Gap-to-fair-value charts and market-versus-model price action
Signal decomposition, methodology, and historical performance tracking
Scenario Desk
Multi-scenario EU ETS modeling environment with balance, supply, and demand analysis for comprehensive market assessment.
Multi-scenario comparison and analysis
Balance, supply, and demand deep dives
Interactive scenario charts and visualization
Reform Tracker
EU ETS reform monitoring and tracking with political map visualization and comprehensive element analysis.
EU ETS reform tracking and monitoring
Political map visualization of member state positions
Reform element analysis and impact assessment

Design Principles

Regime-aware
Signals behave differently depending on market conditions.
Short-term focused
Designed for day-ahead to three-month horizons.
Context-first
Signals highlight relevance, they do not issue trades.
Explainable
Each signal has a clear economic intuition.

How Clients Use Market Signals

  • 1
    Identify periods of elevated risk or opportunity
  • 2
    Improve timing for hedging and exposure adjustments
  • 3
    Avoid overreacting to noise
  • 4
    Structure internal discussions around market conditions

Signals are always interpreted through market intelligence, never in isolation.

Access & Overview

What Signals Are and Are Not

They are:
  • Decision-support tools
  • Change detectors
  • Context providers
They are not:
  • Trading recommendations
  • Execution tools
  • Performance guarantees

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